GIS Reports

Somalia at a critical juncture

Somalia held indirect presidential elections in May 2022, electing Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, which led to the country's accession to the East African Community (EAC) in December 2023.

How terrorism threatens the future of Mozambique

Mozambique President Filipe Nyusi announced the death of terrorist leader Bonomade Machude Omar, also known as Ibn Omar or Abu Suraka, during a state visit by his Cuban counterpart. However, Nyusi..

The Wagner Group’s Web in Libya

Russia has developed a complex network of influence in Libya through the Wagner group and will likely keep using private military actors to maintain its leverage.

Only two scenarios for Russia’s war against Ukraine

There can be no such thing as a “draw” to resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Any outcome other than victory for the Ukrainians, as they define it, will be a victory for the Kremlin.

The Suez Canal privatization conundrum

Faced with unsustainable debt levels, Egypt is taking steps to privatize the highly profitable Suez Canal.

Europe’s mistakes in Libya

Europe overestimated the prospects for rapid democratic transition in Libya, and will likely continue to face successive crises without a long-term strategy.

Beyond Russia’s war against Ukraine

Russia’s war against Ukraine will be long, brutal, devastating and exhausting. It offers little prospect of a return to lasting peace.

Lebanon and Israel’s historic maritime border deal

After more than 12 years since major natural gas discoveries in the Levant Basin in the Eastern Mediterranean, the region has come to a historic understanding. In October 2022, Lebanon and Israel..

China tries to charm Southeast Asia

The South China Sea is a treasure trove for the seven states with territorial claims in the area – Brunei, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam.

Crimea’s past, and its postwar future

In “The Grand Chessboard” (1997), the political scientist Zbigniew Brzezinski was among the first to predict that the Crimean Peninsula would be an important factor for instability in the territories..